For McLaren to take a victory this year will require some serious bad luck overtaking both Ferrari and Williams. At least three of their four drivers will have to suffer some kind of difficulty for McL to win through, and, even then, Rubens might be able to fend them off. I think both Ferrari and Williams have improved from last year while McLs have slipped. Then along comes Renault who have probably improved more than any team. Maximum of one victory this year for McLaren. Take it to the bank.
