Ricciardo will be outperformed but he is race sharp, the cars are "reset" so maybe he'll spring a surprise or two and be closer than Webber was.
Magnussen is going to get annihilated next year though. Dodgy Mercs, tight testing regime and woeful in-experience. A win next year? ahahahahahaha
Don't get me wrong if the guy is given time to mature I think he'll become a force. I rate him. But 2014 he's going to make an ass of himself. I trust McLaren will stay the course with him and be sober enough to see him as an investment for the new Honda era, when the powerplants should be tasty.
But 2014? Learning year.