It looks like BTCC frog is the favourite for the title - only 6 points off Steel Wheels and with Cammish in R3.
Whilst I'm 19 off Steel Wheels and also with a slightly better trio (on paper), its highly unlikely that I'll outscore BTCC frog (13 ahead of me) given we both have Cammish in R3 and drivers of similar ability in R1 and R2. As others have pointed out, steve_r could really leap up the order with his team - especially as he could outscore Steel Wheels, BTCC frog, Jay87 and myself in the standings by 20+ in R1 alone.
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